Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 198.367944 229.073757 263.857334 306.358967 357.133271 416.145186 490.358506
2025-10-12 161.937931 202.470970 252.930235 321.090814 411.874347 530.220606 698.813815
2025-10-19 135.840980 179.050598 236.367794 319.342875 438.712198 607.902214 872.651520
2025-10-26 121.320489 166.935351 230.684384 328.481737 478.753671 707.896055 1097.966561
2025-11-02 109.158758 155.661095 223.553124 332.975346 510.973339 800.476443 1332.260903
2025-11-09 99.789778 146.832213 218.217909 338.475255 544.516399 900.253603 1602.486290
2025-11-16 90.876501 137.379346 210.350859 338.149141 567.459370 985.340329 1866.908827
2025-11-23 83.250399 128.934840 202.819526 336.878116 587.886491 1069.015086 2150.380114
2025-11-30 77.633966 123.036869 198.616732 340.519419 617.504938 1175.683194 2513.037681
2025-12-07 70.059412 113.051158 186.259982 327.488852 612.508911 1210.696901 2721.563015
2025-12-14 64.835958 106.546963 179.231453 323.396876 624.549538 1284.027107 3045.703417
2025-12-21 61.436680 102.875666 176.830227 327.828284 654.926916 1404.432960 3532.099280
2025-12-28 59.922503 102.847950 181.908244 349.692715 731.421516 1662.113587 4538.541767
2026-01-04 57.744690 101.432526 184.326179 366.854948 802.290422 1930.732039 5730.220369
2026-01-11 53.721023 96.078531 178.336669 364.810350 826.802708 2084.730830 6631.565827
2026-01-18 51.395879 93.737273 178.077789 375.500275 885.676008 2354.644289 8117.868522
2026-01-25 48.787206 90.551353 175.661260 380.759593 931.651512 2602.509707 9689.673445
2026-02-01 46.521057 87.819289 173.864099 387.199374 982.544084 2884.940419 11626.738238
2026-02-08 43.923514 84.147236 169.591853 386.817448 1013.996687 3114.703744 13507.149257
2026-02-15 41.484374 80.579631 165.152978 385.328999 1042.031953 3344.132392 15594.297087
2026-02-22 39.656478 78.148838 163.023274 389.593609 1089.195880 3665.319304 18521.981777
2026-03-01 36.709140 73.034028 154.149768 374.338471 1070.261713 3719.986971 19877.301322
2026-03-08 34.668421 69.756391 149.295228 369.551367 1085.431969 3923.953307 22465.158382